Very interesting slate of games this week from a gambling perspective. I have some strong opinions about a number of the games, although I could very well be completely wrong about those opinions. We'll know Monday night. The games and my picks are listed below.
New York Jets (+5.5) @ Buffalo Bills: Interesting game considering how well Pennington played in the first game against Tennessee and also how well the Jets played in coming back against the Patriots last week. The Bills have a good defense and a poor offense, but the Jets never play well in Buffalo, so the pick is Buffalo.
Cincinnati Bengals (+2) @ Pittsburgh Steelers: Very tough game for the Steelers, especially considering how poor Big Ben looked on MNF. I refuse to pick against my boys. However, you will note I did not assign this game and points.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+7) @ Indianapolis Colts: Peyton and company have won this one by 7 and 8 points, respectively, last year. I think the Colts are not quite as good as last year and the Jaguars are better than they were last year. The Colts should still win, but Jags cover.
Tennessee Titans (+11) @ Miami Dolphins: Miami is 0-2 and is giving 11 points. Think about that. I wonder if there has ever, in the history of NFL gambling, been a comperable situation. This game strikes me as a total stinker. I'll take the Titans, if only because I think the Jets and Dolphins are similar teams, and the Jets-Titans game was closer than 11.
Washington Redskins (-4) @ Houston Texans (*25): Putting 25 points on the 'Skins is extraordinarily foolhardy and also violates a rule espoused in one of my posts this week. I just cannot see them beating the Texans by fewer than 4. The 'Skins are the middle class of the NFL, and the middle class should stick it to the po'.
Chicago (-3.5) @ Minnesota: The Bears lose something when they play in a dome (that ferocious defense is caged a bit by being inside), and the Vikings are playing well. Plus, at some point, Rex Grossman is going to remember who he is. The Vikings cover. I hope.
Carolina Panthers (-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Both teams have performed well under expectations, but I think Carolina is the team that rebounds this week with a win. Chucky grows ever more Chucky-like.
Green Bay Packers (+6.5) @ Detroit Lions: Favre never performs well in the dome in Detroit. Plus, I think he had his one good game of the year last week. Detroit wins big.
Baltimore Ravens (-6.5) @ Cleveland Browns: I hate to say this, but I think the Ravens cover. The Browns are not a good football team, and it will be just my luck that the Ravens open the season 3-0.
St. Louis Rams (-4.5) @ Arizona Cardinals: This spread seems far too large for me, especially with the Cardinals at home. Cardinals cover.
New York Giants (+3.5) @ Seattle Seahawks: (*10) I like the G-Men to cover. Seattle has not shown me anything this year.
Philadelphia Eagles (-6) @ San Francisco 49ers (*15): Eagles win this one by more than a touchdown. San Fran remembers they suck.
Denver Broncos (+7) @ New England Patriots (*1): Way too big a spread on this game. Denver covers, barely.
MNF -- Atlanta @ New Orleans: (*5)If it were not the reopening of the Superdome, I would have this as my 25-point game. Emotion does play a part in pro sports, though, so I'll pick the Falcons to win bt only give it 5 points in the pool.
Total points: 31.
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